Polarized Defense: the NDAA in an Era of Partisan Polarization

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Authors

Knights, Kijana

Issue Date

2025

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Article

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en_US

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Abstract

This study examines whether increased congressional polarization has diminished bipartisan support for the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), traditionally a bipartisan piece of legislation. Using DW-NOMINATE scores to measure polarization and analyzing House voting patterns from the 101st to 117th Congress (1989-2022), this research finds that more polarized members are significantly more likely to vote against the NDAA. The effect has intensified over time, with polarization having a stronger negative impact on NDAA support in the post-2002 period compared to earlier years. Linear regression analysis reveals that a one-unit increase in polarization score corresponds to a 0.749 decrease in likelihood of supporting the NDAA. These findings suggest that as the NDAA increasingly serves as a vehicle for non-defense policies, it becomes vulnerable to the same partisan dynamics affecting other legislation, potentially threatening its 60-year streak of passage and America’s defense policy stability.

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Knights, Kijana. "Polarized Defense: the NDAA in an Era of Partisan Polarization." West Point Journal of Politics and Security, Volume 3 Issue 1; Spring 2025.

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West Point Press

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