Threatcasting: a framework and process to model future operating environments
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Authors
Vanatta, Natalie
Johnson, Brian David
Issue Date
2018
Type
journal-article
Language
Keywords
Threatcasting
Alternative Title
Abstract
Threatcasting, a new foresight methodology, draws from futures studies and military strategic thinking to provide a novel method to model the future. The methodology fills gaps in existing military futures thinking and provides a process to specify actionable steps as well as progress indicators. Threatcasting also provides an ability to anticipate future threats and develop strategies to reduce the impact of any event. This technical note provides a detailed explanation of the Threatcasting methodology. It provides the reader with its connections to the current body of work within the foresight community and then explains the four phase methodology through the use of a real-life example.
Description
Citation
1. Vanatta N, Johnson BD. Threatcasting: a framework and process to model future operating environments. The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation. 2019;16(1):79-88. doi:10.1177/1548512918806385
Publisher
The Journal of Defense Modeling and Simulation
License
Journal
Volume
Issue
PubMed ID
ISSN
1548-5129
1557-380X
1557-380X